Faculty of Economics

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    How Do Fiscal and Monetary Policies Interact in Small Open Economies? Evidence from the Western Balkans
    (2026)
    This paper examines fiscal–monetary policy interactions in Albania, North Macedonia, and Serbia using country-specific Bayesian vector autoregressions estimated on quarterly data for 2010Q1–2024Q4. The models combine a euro-area block with domestic output, fiscal, monetary, and inflation variables, while block-exogeneity restrictions capture the small-open-economy structure. The results reveal substantial cross-country heterogeneity. Positive output-gap shocks are short-lived, but fiscal responses differ markedly: Albania reacts countercyclically, whereas North Macedonia and Serbia respond procyclically. Monetary reactions to output shocks are generally weak, while inflation shocks trigger clear tightening in Albania and especially Serbia, but a weaker response in North Macedonia. Fiscal tightening is followed by a positive output response in all three economies, pointing to non-Keynesian fiscal effects. Direct fiscal–monetary interactions are limited, as monetary tightening does not generate robust fiscal responses and monetary reactions to fiscal shocks remain weak and countryspecific. Overall, macroeconomic stabilisation appears to depend more on country-specific policy regimes and monetary autonomy than on systematic fiscal–monetary coordination.
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    PROFESSIONAL SKEPTICISM AND THE IDENTIFICATION OF IRREGULARITIES IN PUBLIC SECTOR AUDITS: EVIDENCE FROM STATE AUDITORS
    (University of Belgrade Faculty of Economics and Business Publishing Centre, 2026-10-16)
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    Mitrevska, Monika
    Professional skepticism is a fundamental element of auditing, supporting the critical evaluation of audit evidence, sound professional judgment, and the identification of circumstances requiring further scrutiny. While professional skepticism has been extensively examined in private-sector auditing, considerably less empirical attention has been devoted to its role within Supreme Audit Institutions (SAIs). This study examines professional skepticism among state auditors and its relationship with their perceived ability to identify significant irregularities in public sector audits. It further considers organizational support, professional training and experience, and perceived organizational and institutional pressures as contextual factors surrounding skeptical audit behavior. The study employed a quantitative, cross-sectional research design based on a structured questionnaire completed by 35 state auditors employed by the State Audit Office of the Republic of North Macedonia. The results indicate a high reported level of professional skepticism and reveal a strong positive association between professional skepticism and auditors' perceived ability to identify significant irregularities. All individual skeptical behaviors were positively and significantly associated with irregularity identification, with the strongest relationships observed for avoiding premature conclusions, actively searching for contradictions and inconsistencies, and considering alternative explanations. The findings extend behavioral auditing research to the comparatively underexplored SAI environment and highlight professional skepticism as an important behavioral attribute associated with irregularity-sensitive auditing and public sector accountability.
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    IMPACT OF ENERGY PRICES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NORTH MACEDONIA: EVIDENCE FROM AN ARDL MODEL
    (Ss. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, 2026-06-01)
    Bojadjieva, Daniela
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    Hadzi Velkova, Biljana
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    Milosheska, Milica
    Energy prices are a key determinant of macroeconomic performance, especially in small, open, and energy-import-dependent economies such as North Macedonia. The recent energy crisis exposed strong vulnerabilities, as rising electricity prices increased production costs, fueled inflation, and weakened competitiveness. This paper examines the relationship between electricity prices and economic growth in North Macedonia. The analysis uses quarterly data for 2011Q3–2025Q1 and applies an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to capture both short-run and long-run dynamics. Electricity prices from the Hungarian Power Exchange (HUPX) are used as the main explanatory variable, while employment, investment, and economic uncertainty are included as controls. The results show a significant long-run relationship between electricity prices and economic growth. In the short run, increases in electricity prices have a negative effect on growth, reflecting higher costs and reduced demand. In contrast, the long-run effect is positive, suggesting that persistent price increases may encourage structural adjustment through energy efficiency improvements and technological upgrading. These findings highlight a dual effect: electricity price shocks constrain growth in the short term but may support adaptation in the long term. The results suggest that policies should focus on reducing energy dependence and improving efficiency to strengthen economic resilience.
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    ASSESING THE IMPORTANCE OF DIGITAL AND SUSTAINABLE TRADE FACILITATION MEASURES FOR WESTERN BALKANS COUNTRIES TRADE
    (Juraj Dobrila University of Pula, 2026)
    Makrevska Disoska Elena
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    Stojkoski, Viktor
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    Predrag Bjelic
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    Local self-government audit reporting in selected Balkan countries: a comparative content analysis of supreme audit institutions' reports
    (Emerald, 2026-08-28)
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    Purpose This study evaluates the transparency and reporting practices of local self-government (LSG) audit reporting across four Supreme Audit Institutions (SAIs), North Macedonia, Montenegro, Croatia and Slovenia, over the period 2015–2024. It examines how SAIs communicate municipal audit results, the extent to which reporting practices align with internationally recognized accountability principles and how differences in institutional contexts are associated with variation in reporting patterns. Design/methodology/approach The study employs a longitudinal comparative content analysis of 40 annual reports, operationalised through a novel Local Audit Transparency Index (LATI) comprising four dimensions: structure and visibility, audit scope and findings, follow-up and implementation, and accessibility and transparency. Binary scoring and theory-informed interpretation (principal–agent, accountability neo-institutionalism) are used to analyze cross-country differences. Findings The results reveal significant heterogeneity in LSG audit reporting practices. North Macedonia, Slovenia, and Croatia attain similarly high LATI scores, though with different profiles: North Macedonia demonstrates consistent structural visibility and accessibility; Slovenia exhibits comprehensive coverage across scope-related indicators; and Croatia records full indicator coverage in the follow-up dimension in the final years. Montenegro shows comparatively lower LATI scores, with reporting focused on individual municipal audit excerpts and limited disclosure of follow-up information. Research limitations/implications The study is limited to publicly available annual reporting practices and does not assess individual audit reports, internal SAI procedures or causal institutional determinants. Future research should integrate interview-based evidence, link LATI scores to objective municipal financial outcomes and extend the framework to additional EU and non-EU SAIs to examine broader applicability. Originality/value This study offers the first decade-long, multi-country evaluation of LSG audit reporting practices in the Western Balkans. It introduces the LATI as an operational framework for assessing audit transparency in subnational audit reporting and translates abstract accountability concepts into observable empirical indicators. The analysis provides comparative evidence on how reporting patterns differ across institutional context and highlights variation in follow-up disclosure at the municipal level.
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