Faculty of Economics

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    Item type:Publication,
    The economics of tobacco farming in North Macedonia
    (European Publishing, 2023-10-08)
    Mijovic Hristovska, Bojana
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    Mijovic Spasova, Tamara
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    Tobacco leaf cultivation occupies around 3.2 percent of total arable land in North Macedonia. North Macedonia is the second largest producer of oriental-type tobacco leaf after Turkey. In 2021, the total production of tobacco was 24,329 tons from 15,457 hectares of land, with an average yield per hectare of 1,574 kilograms. North Macedonia ratified the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) in 2006, which introduced a legal commitment for the reduction of tobacco production and consumption as well as to help those who are employed in the tobacco sector to find alternative viable livelihoods. The process of EU integration will require the reduction of crop-specific subsidies, likely leading to less income to tobacco farmers and an eventual reduction in the area harvested. The Government adopted a new Strategy for Tobacco Production (2021–2027) in which there is envisaged indirect support for tobacco farmers, but reparations will be made with education and counseling for future change to other crops. Tobacco farming traditionally has been supported by the Government of the Republic of North Macedonia. However, there is not enough research on the economic livelihood of tobacco farmers. Тo fill this gap and to provide results to support evidence-based policy and decision-making, a survey with a nationally representative sample was conducted. The survey comprises 806 farming households from 14 municipalities (urban and rural) in the top tobacco- producing regions in North Macedonia. Target groups (categories of respondents) for the survey are the following: 1. tobacco farmer (the respondent is a farmer who grew tobacco in 2021); 2. former tobacco farmer (the respondent is a farmer who grew tobacco in any year before 2021 and now cultivates other agricultural crops); and 3. never tobacco farmer (the respondent is a farmer who cultivates any agricultural crop other than tobacco and never cultivated tobacco previously). Survey results: - Around half of tobacco farmers are not turning a real profit. While most tobacco farmers believe they achieve positive “perceived” profits (excluding the value of household labor), with only a few households perceiving negative profits, around half of the households actually achieved negative “real” profits. - Most farmers struggle financially, living with an average monthly income below the average net monthly wage and below the value of the minimum household consumer basket. - Pensions and remittances are one of the most important components for maintaining an adequate level of income and standard of living for tobacco farmers’ families. Although they spend the most time in the field, current tobacco farmers have a higher incidence of poverty compared to former and never tobacco farmers. - Compared to former tobacco workers or never tobacco workers, the median current tobacco farmer devotes more time to growing crops. The median male farmer worked 1400 hours on tobacco cultivation, while the median male former and never tobacco farmers worked 1000 hours and 1260 hours, respectively. - Тhe children of tobacco farmers are more involved in farming relative to other farmers’ children. Children’s help in the harvesting of tobacco is 2.3 times more common compared to children’s help in harvesting other crops; however, no farmer reported hiring children to help with tobacco cultivation and children do not appear to be engaged in potentially harmful activities related to pesticide/ herbicide application. - Compared to other crop activities, tobacco cultivation typically requires significantly more pesticide. Pesticides are related to persistent health challenges for farmers and damage the environment through contamination of groundwater and watersheds. - Tobacco farmers show signs of green tobacco sickness, a form of acute nicotine poisoning. - Current tobacco farmers are more likely to rent land for farming compared to former and never tobacco farmers. In the survey, 22.2 percent of current tobacco farmers and 13.7 percent of former tobacco farmers stated that they rent land from others. - The vast majority of farmers reported having a contract with a leaf buyer. Survey results shows that almost all tobacco farmers (94 percent) in all major tobacco-growing regions have signed contracts with tobacco leaf buyers. More than half (57 percent) of the tobacco farmers say they are satisfied with the concluded tobacco agreement, while 36 percent are not. Tobacco cultivation is not as profitable as the government suggests. Thus, highlighting tobacco as a highly profitable crop is unfounded. This research indicates it would be much better for tobacco farmers, in terms of labor and economic efficiency, to reorient and grow another crop or pursue other economic activities in their local economy (such as wage work or small business). Around half of tobacco farmers are not turning a real profit. The opportunity cost for unpaid family labor makes growing tobacco unprofitable. Revenues of tobacco farmers decrease significantly when the opportunity costs are calculated. Household members could better allocate their labor to other tasks that earn money; not doing so results in significant economic loss for those tobacco families. Poverty rates among tobacco farmers are slightly higher than the nationwide poverty rate. Current tobacco farmers have the highest incidence of poverty when considering per capita income. Despite their high poverty rate, only a small share of tobacco farmers use some form of social assistance. Input costs for growing tobacco are typically very high, particularly compared to most other crops.
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    Item type:Publication,
    Public Debt in Southeast Europe” – Why to enable public participation?
    (Balkan Monitoring Public Finances, 2018-06)
    Mijovic Spasova, Tamara
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    Item type:Publication,
    Tobacco consumption in North Macedonia
    (Analytica | Thinking Laboratory, 2020)
    Mijovic Hristovska, Bojana
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    Mijovic Spasova, Tamara
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    Item type:Publication,
    Illicit Trade in Manufactured Cigarettes and Hand-Rolled Tobacco In North Macedonia
    (Analytica | Thinking Laboratory, 2021-02)
    Trajkova Najdovska, Natasa
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    Mijovic Hristovska, Bojana
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    Mijovic Spasova, Tamara
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    The World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC) Protocol to Eliminate Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products (WHO, 2013)1 defines illicit trade in tobacco very broadly. A key part of illicit trade in tobacco is the illegal methods consumers use to circumvent tobacco taxes, which is defined as tax evasion. On the other hand, tax avoidance encompasses the legal ways consumers manage to pay lower prices by avoiding paying taxes. Tax evasion and tax avoidance undermine a country’s tobacco taxation and health policy efforts as they decrease tax revenues and undermine health, since the required health warnings and declarations of ingredients are usually absent on illegal products (Joossens et al., 2010).2 As prior independent estimates of tobacco tax evasion in North Macedonia were not available, Analytica conducted a study using novel data from the Survey on Tobacco Consumption in Southeastern European countries (STC-SEE). The survey was conducted for the first time in 2019 in six SEE countries: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia.3 Based on the survey data, the size and characteristics of tax evasion in manufactured cigarettes (MC) and hand-rolled cigarettes (HR) are estimated, followed by an empirical evaluation of possible factors affecting smokers’ probability of evading taxes. Hence, this study brings forward several key messages and policy recommendations for policy makers in North Macedonia.
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    Item type:Publication,
    Tax evasion and avoidance in manufactured cigarettes and hand-rolled tobacco in North Macedonia: Results from a nationwide survey of smokers
    (Analytica | Thinking Laboratory, 2021-01)
    Trajkova Najdovska, Natasa
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    Mijovic Hristovska, Bojana
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    Mijovic Spasova, Tamara
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    Item type:Publication,
    Tobacco Farming and the Effects of Tobacco Subsidies in North Macedonia
    (Analytica | Thinking Laboratory, 2022-03)
    Mijovic Hristovska, Bojana
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    Mijovic Spasova, Tamara
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    This Report was written by Analytica in North Macedonia. The report discusses the economics of tobacco subsidies in North Macedonia. Tobacco subsidies comprise a quarter of the total agricultural subsidies in the country, which is a disproportionate amount of funding. Even with these substantial subsidies, tobacco growing is decreasing and the income it produces is lower than needed to sustain a household. Food imports in the country are increasing, including expensive processed foods, leading to a large and growing trade deficit in agricultural and food products. Furthermore, as a candidate country for EU membership, North Macedonia will need to phase out tobacco-specific subsidies in order to comply with the EU Common Agricultural Policy. The report concludes by recommending ways in which the country can shift its agricultural subsidies to improve productivity and efficiency in the future.