Determinants of migration from EU candidate countries to Germany: A gravity model approach

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to investigate the determinants of migration from the EU candidate countries (Macedonia, Croatia and Turkey) to Germany during the period 1997-2007 using the extended gravity model. The estimation of the model of migration flows is made on pool data using EViews 6. The results of estimation show that the ratio between unemployment rate in the country of origin and the country of destination turned out to be the main economic determinant of migration flow, showing a strong effect. The results from the model show also presence of strong social network effects.