Long-term predictions of the energy development-possibilities and challenges
Journal
Thermal Science
Date Issued
2016
Author(s)
Dedinec, Aleksandar
Kanevce, Gligor
Kanevce, Ljubica
Abstract
In this paper the possibilities, disadvantages, and benefits of long-term planning
of energy development, are analysed. The factors influencing the development of
energy and the factors influencing the accuracy of forecasting of the future development of energy are presented. The uncertainties that make the differences in
modelling on a global scale, as well as the uncertainties that make the differences
in modelling of the energy development of the Republic of Macedonia are also
presented. Sensitivity analysis of the influence of different factors on the development of energy in the Republic of Macedonia was carried out. For those purposes the energy development of the Republic of Macedonia for the period up to
2035 year is calculated by using market allocation model. The main features of
the market allocation model are also presented.
of energy development, are analysed. The factors influencing the development of
energy and the factors influencing the accuracy of forecasting of the future development of energy are presented. The uncertainties that make the differences in
modelling on a global scale, as well as the uncertainties that make the differences
in modelling of the energy development of the Republic of Macedonia are also
presented. Sensitivity analysis of the influence of different factors on the development of energy in the Republic of Macedonia was carried out. For those purposes the energy development of the Republic of Macedonia for the period up to
2035 year is calculated by using market allocation model. The main features of
the market allocation model are also presented.
Subjects
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